Thursday 19 September 2013

Gold mining stocks

After the Fed announcement every single asset (apart from the USD) staged a rally. Some had a jump up and then drifted lower but others are still rallying very hard this morning.

Precious metals are up between 4% and 7% this morning alone and gold miners yesterday had the highest volume day ever (using GDX, the ETF).

Furthermore , the chart shows a potential reversal formation that if confirmed (ie gdx closes above 30) signals a move to 40, ie almost 40% higher from here.

Given the absence of gold mining stocks from almost every portfolio, I wouldn’t be surprised if the short covering/long buying pushes prices very high, very fast.

A failure to hold the 25 level would signal a continuation of the bear market.